Demographic Research

Early life adversity is a recognised risk factor for poor health in later life, but its relationship with allostatic load (AL; a measure of cumulative physiological stress) remains underexplored across populations around the world. This study builds evidence to test a life course approach to AL using harmonised data from six longitudinal ageing cohorts: Health and Retirement Study (US, N=2,427), English Longitudinal Study of Ageing (England, N=2,038), The Irish Longitudinal Study on Ageing (Ireland, N=8,184), Survey of Health Ageing and Retirement in Europe (Europe, N=4,079), China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (China, N=5,220), and Indonesia Family Life Survey (Indonesia, N=1,243). Childhood information at aged ten to sixteen was collected retrospectively from adults aged 65 on average. An AL score is constructed using biomarker data and a latent construct of early life adversity constructed to address recall bias. Results show that early life poverty is significantly associated with raised AL in Ireland, China, and Indonesia, supporting the impact of early life experiences on older adulthood. However, studies from other countries do not confirm statistical significance. These findings document that experiencing poverty during development phase in some settings is associated with higher AL in later life, however further analyses are required to explore possible variations across different populations and their social and economic context. These results add further evidence that social determinants of health, including child poverty, in some settings, contribute to cumulative physiological stress across the life course, and that policies and actions to reduce child poverty can have beneficial effects not only as children, but also as older adults.

The COVID-19 pandemic and pandemic response may have long-term consequences. The cumulative impact may be better appraised when post-pandemic years are also considered. For 38 populations with reliable death registration data, we estimated excess deaths for 2020-2025 with 4 models and granular age stratification. The Fa model compared deaths against the mean of 2017-2019. Three other trend models considered changes in mortality rates after 2003 (or after a country reached $20,000 per capita income) factoring trend-of-trends (TTa), including shrinkage (STTa), and factoring also the 2024-2025 data for trend-of-trends calculation (STTa). Slopes (weighted mean -0.58%/year in 2019) and slopes-of-slopes (weighted mean +0.106%/year-squared) for age-stratified mortality rates were highly heterogeneous across populations. On model average, 6 populations (Luxembourg, Ireland, Sweden, New Zealand, Denmark, Korea) had cumulative death deficits during 2020-2025, while another 6 (Chile, Bulgaria, Japan, Greece, USA, Italy) had >4% excess deaths. Differences across populations were more prominent during 2020-2023, while 33/38 countries had estimated death deficits in 2024-2025. Total 2020-2025 excess deaths were 1.16-2.63 million (2020-2023: 2.19-3.03 million; 2024-2025: -1.03 to -0.40 million deficit). Lack of age stratification and use of unchanged linear trends for the baseline grossly biased excess death estimates upwards. Socioeconomically more vulnerable populations had higher pandemic deaths, but a more pronounced post-pandemic death deficit. Excess death estimates require careful consideration of changing population age structure and long-term mortality trajectories. Post-pandemic death deficits, especially in more vulnerable populations, may reflect deaths of people with modest life expectancy during the pandemic with respective pay off in 2024-2025

Background: Hearing loss (HL) may be a risk factor for poor psychosocial outcomes among older adults, but evidence remains mixed. We assessed associations of self-reported and objective HL with and without hearing aid use with social contact, loneliness, and depression pooled across 6 years of follow-up. Methods: We studied 2049 Black and White adults from the Health, Aging, and Body Composition study aged 70-79 at recruitment. Self-reported HL and audiometric HL with and without hearing aid use were assessed at analytic baseline (Year 5, 2001-2002). Outcomes were frequency of contact with family and friends (<weekly vs. at least weekly), depressive symptoms (CESD-10), and loneliness (CESD-10 item "I felt lonely") measured across 6 annual visits. Adjusted for demographic and clinical variables, we used generalized linear regression with generalized estimating equations to assess associations with outcomes pooled across six follow-up waves. Results: Self-reported HL (16%) was associated with more depressive symptoms ({beta}=0.13 SD; 95%CI:0.03,0.24), but no other outcome. Objective HL without hearing aid use (11%) was associated with infrequent contact with friends (OR=1.38; 95%CI:1.07,1.78) and more depressive symptoms ({beta}=0.19 SD; 95%CI:0.07,0.31); objective HL with hearing aid use (9%) was not associated with these outcomes. Objective HL, regardless of hearing aid use, was borderline associated with more frequent feelings of loneliness. Discussion: Objective HL without hearing aid use may be an important risk factor for isolation from friendship networks and depressive symptoms among older adults. Self-reported HL and objective HL with hearing aid use may also be linked to some adverse psychosocial outcomes.

Standard demographic models of age-related hearing loss (presbycusis) predominantly utilize symmetric functions, such as log-normal distributions for age-binned thresholds and 4-parameter logistic curves for prevalence estimates. While these models capture early-to-moderate degradation effectively, they structurally struggle to characterize the heavy tails associated with severe clinical impairment. In this study, we present a statistical critique using a secondary analysis of the historical Medical Research Council (MRC) National Study of Hearing (1980-1986) dataset. By applying Generalized Extreme Value (GEV) distribution theory, we demonstrate that as severity increases, the underlying statistical geometry of hearing loss shifts. The asymmetric, heavy-tailed GEV distribution provides a parsimonious description of severe impairment, requiring fewer parameters than standard symmetric models. However, we explicitly acknowledge that utilizing static population data to infer progression introduces an ecological fallacy. Furthermore, the dataset's historical nature embeds unquantified generational cohort effects. We conclude that while extreme value statistics offer a compelling mathematical framework for modeling the variance of severe presbycusis, true longitudinal datasets are required to isolate physiological degradation from historical cohort variance.

Objective This study evaluated how well subjective life expectancy (SLE) predicts mortality and actual life expectancy (ALE), along with factors associated with inaccurate expectations. Methods Using panel data on approximately 2,000 individuals with up to 28 years of follow-up from a nationally representative sample of older Japanese adults, we examined relationships among SLE, actual mortality, and ALE by survival analysis. We also evaluated health and socioeconomic disparities using concentration indices and investigated factors influencing SLE and ALE discrepancies and focal-point (i.e. rounded or anchored estimates) and do-not-know responses. SLE was measured as a self-reported point estimate, whereas ALE mainly came from official records and family reports. Results SLE was significantly associated with both actual mortality and ALE, even after accounting for demographic and socioeconomic variables. Nonetheless, significant inaccuracies remain: approximately 59% of individuals surpassed their expected lifespan. SLE was positively associated with ALE; however, the association was inelastic. Women and those with higher education levels were more likely to outlive their SLE, whereas those in poorer health were less likely to do so. Higher education correlated with fewer focal point responses to the SLE question. Discussion SLE effectively predicts ALE; however, gaps are non-negligible and differ across gender and socioeconomic groups. Offering more precise data, such as sex- and age-specific remaining life expectancy, can enhance SLE formation and lead to more informed economic choices.

Background: Suicide rates are highest among older adults. Yet, little is known regarding differences in suicide risk of older adults in Austria. This nationwide, retrospective cohort study aimed to characterize suicides among older adults in Austria during 2014-2023 and examine differences those who were young-old (65-74), middle-old (75-84), and oldest-old (85 +). Methods: We applied a cohort design to individual-level linkage data on all residents in Austria aged 65 years and older during 2014-2022 (N = 2,442,939). We compared characteristics of individuals who died by suicide and other causes of death, as well as by age group (i.e., young-old, middle-old, oldest-old) using trend tests and odds ratios. We calculated crude incidence rates of suicide per age group and sex. Results: During 2014-2023, 4,724 older adults died by suicide in Austria. The overall suicide rate was 23.4 per 100,000 person-years, while males had higher rates than females. Suicide rates increased with age and peaked among the oldest-old (33.2/100,000). Hanging, firearms, and jumping were the predominant methods, and the prevalence of hanging increased relative with increasing age. With increasing age, also widowhood and cardiovascular and genitourinary disorders were more prevalent among those who died by suicide. Conclusions: In Austria, oldest-old adults have the highest suicide rates, especially for males. whereas rates were considerably lower and did not change throughout old age for females. Distinct differences in suicide rates with respect to marital status, health conditions, and suicide methods. This emphasizes the need for preventive strategies to target older adults at different stages of life.

Background Vaccination programs have greatly reduced the burden of infectious diseases, particularly in childhood. As populations age, however, the burden of respiratory infections such as influenza A, respiratory syncytial virus (RSV), and SARS-CoV-2 increasingly falls on older adults. Because infection fatality rates rise steeply with age, vaccination strategies that alter the age distribution of infections may have complex population-level consequences. We used transmission models to examine how the timing and frequency of vaccination influence infection-induced mortality and years of life lost (YLL) in aging populations. Methods and findings We analyzed age-structured transmission models that incorporate demographic change, age-specific infection fatality rates, and waning immunity after infection or vaccination. We varied the age at first vaccination, vaccination intervals, and coverage across a wide range of pathogen characteristics, including transmissibility and the duration of natural and vaccine-induced immunity. For single-dose vaccination programs with long-lived protection (5-50 years), the age at vaccination minimizing mortality in older adults for pathogens with strongly age-increasing fatality risk typically ranges from 60 to 80 years. The optimal age shifted toward older ages when transmissibility was higher or natural immunity lasted longer. Repeated vaccination produced qualitatively different outcomes. When vaccine-induced immunity was short-lived ($<$5 years), vaccination can shift infections toward the oldest ages where fatality risks are highest, increasing both mortality and YLL compared with no vaccination. This study has limitations. Our analysis used stylized transmission models and assumed vaccines that fully prevent infection, which may overestimate age-shifting effects compared with real-world vaccines that primarily reduce disease severity. Conclusions Optimal adult vaccination strategies depend jointly on pathogen transmissibility, the duration of immunity, and population demography. Vaccination programs that suppress infections earlier in life without protecting individuals into late life may shift infections toward ages with higher fatality risk. These findings highlight the need to evaluate adult vaccination strategies across the full life course and have important implications for vaccination policies against influenza A and other pathogens with strongly age-dependent infection fatality rates.

C-Reactive Protein (hs-CRP) is a common marker for human inflammation, a response to perceived threat and precipitate to many compromising health conditions. Previous work demonstrated that in addition to other biological features that may be predictive and explanatory of variance in inflammation, psychosocial influences may play a role. The present work uses structural equation modeling to examine pathways including socioeconomic status (SES), psychological capital (PsyCap), and perceived discrimination (Discrim) -insofar as they explain variance in hs-CRP, potentially moderated by neurological lateralization (handedness). Body mass index (BMI), an indicator of body composition, stood as the strongest predictor of the obesity-related inflammatory marker (ORIM). On average, females are predicted to have higher hs- CRP scores than males. The psychosocial constructs were estimated to have little to no effect on inflammation (via hs-CRP) in the analysis sample (ADD Health Study) in either group (left and right-handers) although a small, statistically non-zero indirect path is found in the retained model for right-handed participants (given statistical power for estimation). With this finding, contextual effect estimates are provided with regard to the effect of perceived discrimination on hs-CRP given the range of SES and BMI.

Objectives: Oral health conditions impact a significant proportion of the global population. Chronological age is a known risk factor; however, characterization of epigenetic age remains limited and is expected to provide additional insight into biological mechanisms. Materials and Methods: The National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) was used to analyze the effect of epigenetic age measures of DunedinPoAm, and epigenetic age acceleration (EAA) of Horvath, Hannum, Weidner, Lin, VidalBralo, PhenoAge, GrimAge, and GrimAge2, on various oral health outcomes from survey and examination results. Univariable and multivariable logistic regression were performed, adjusting for sex, race-ethnicity, education, poverty income ratio categories, and dental insurance coverage status. Results: DunedinPoAm was associated with the last dental appointment being for an existing issue (p=0.0093), poor general oral condition (p=0.0226), limiting food due to teeth problems (p=0.0031), and recommendation to see a dentist within the next two weeks (p=0.0171). EAAs for PhenoAge, GrimAge, and GrimAge2, were associated with a smaller number of oral health outcomes, whereas EAAs for Horvath, Hannum, Weidner, Lin, and Vidal-Bralo showed no associations. Conclusions: In a representative U.S. population, DunedinPoAm was most consistently positively associated with different adverse oral health outcomes compared with other epigenetic aging measures. Tracking specific epigenetic ages such as DunedinPoAm, EAA GrimAge, EAA GrimAge2, and PhenoAge, may aid in additional monitoring of oral health outcomes. Understanding specific aging-related CpGs associated with oral health may aid in elucidating underlying molecular mechanisms.

Homicide is a leading cause of preventable death in the United States and disproportionately affects Black and Indigenous communities. Structural racism and neighborhood disinvestment are central drivers of these disparities, yet national evidence on whether the association between neighborhood opportunity and homicide risk varies by race/ethnicity remains limited. Using 2020 data from the restricted-use National Violent Death Reporting System linked to Child Opportunity Index (COI 3.0) scores and Census population denominators across 30,077 ZIP codes in 48 states, we estimated age-adjusted log-linked generalized linear models to examine racial/ethnic disparities in homicide rates and their interaction with neighborhood opportunity. Black men experienced homicide rates nearly 20 times those of White men; Indigenous men experienced rates approximately 6 times higher. Higher neighborhood opportunity was independently associated with lower homicide risk across all groups and explained 43-59% of excess risk for Black and Indigenous individuals. Crucially, the association between neighborhood opportunity and homicide was nonlinear and significantly heterogeneous by race/ethnicity, with the steepest rate reductions occurring at the lowest opportunity levels for Black and Indigenous men. These findings suggest that place-based investments in severely deprived communities may yield the greatest reductions in homicide and racial/ethnic health inequities.

Introduction Guatemala is the most populous country in Central America and a setting with unique opportunities for aging research. Approximately 40% of Guatemala's population is Indigenous Maya, who together speak 22 Mayan languages. Currently, there is no population-based aging study in Guatemala and few aging studies in Latin America among Indigenous populations. The Longitudinal Study of Aging in Guatemala (ELEGUA) aims to address these gaps by developing a nationally representative, population-based, longitudinal aging study modeled on the Health and Retirement Study and the Harmonized Cognitive Assessment Protocol, adapted to the cultural and linguistic context of Guatemala. The objective of this protocol is to describe the rationale and design of the ELEGUA pilot survey. Methods and analysis The ELEGUA pilot was a cross-sectional household survey of adults aged 40 years or older in Tecpan, Guatemala. Tecpan was chosen because its diverse population facilitated testing of study procedures in both Spanish and Kaqchikel, a common Mayan language. The survey included up to 600 households sampled using a multistage stratified cluster design. Within each household, one individual aged 40 years or older was selected, with oversampling of adults aged 55 years or older. This respondent completed a comprehensive questionnaire, including detailed cognitive tests, and provided physical measurements and a venous blood sample. Household respondents provided information on household economics and family structure, and an informant reported on the individual respondent's cognitive function. Data were collected using a computer-assisted personal interviewing system. Planned analyses include survey-weighted descriptive statistics and psychometric evaluation of the cognitive assessments. Ethics and dissemination Ethics approval was obtained from the ethics committees of the Institute of Nutrition of Central America and Panama, Maya Health Alliance, and the University of Michigan. Results will be disseminated through publications in peer-reviewed journals and presentations to local, national, and international audiences.

Age-dependent survival is central to understanding population dynamics and life-history evolution. We analysed carcass weight and age-at-harvest data from 6022 red foxes (Vulpes vulpes) collected across Sweden between 1967 and 1971 to evaluate latitudinal effects on body mass and age-dependent survival. Carcass weights decreased from south to north in both adults and sub-adults, contrary to Bergmann's rule, with southern foxes weighing approximately 1.27 times more than northern foxes. The latitudinal weight gradient exceeded the sex difference in both age classes, and no sex x region interaction was detected. The decrease in weight with latitude is consistent with reduced prey availability and harsher winter conditions in the north, which limit growth and body size during development. Using a Bayesian age-at-harvest model with region-specific population growth rates (lambda), we estimated age-dependent survival probabilities for four latitudinal regions and both sexes. Despite the strong latitudinal gradient in weight, survival did not show a corresponding pattern - regional differences were uncertain, with all credible intervals spanning zero. Regional population growth rates were consistent with slight decline in the north and near-stability in the south-central region, which suggests that body condition and population dynamics are coupled at the regional scale despite no survival gradient. The decoupling of body condition and survival across regions suggests that mortality patterns are similar across the latitudinal gradient. We discuss these patterns in terms of latitudinal productivity gradients, prey availability, and life-history trade-offs in a widely distributed carnivore.

Background: Limited evidence motivated us to examine risk of suicide after partner loss among older adults in Austria. Methods: All married older adults aged [&ge;]65 years and living in Austria (N=1,293,557) were followed during 2014-2023. Risk ratios (aRRs) for partner loss were calculated based on adjusted cumulative incidence functions. Results: A total of 357 suicides occurred among widowed older adults. Incidence rates among widowed and not widowed were 56.9 and 29.4 per 100,000 person-years, respectively. High rates were found among widowed males (170.8/100,000) and widowers aged [&ge;]85 (94.1/100,000). Suicide risk was highest in the first month (aRR, 13.6; 95%-CI: 8.7,22.4) but remained elevated up to five years after partner loss (aRR, 2.5; 95%-CI: 2.1, 2.8). Conclusion: Recently bereaved older adults had elevated risks of suicide suggesting monitoring and psychosocial support may be beneficial when bereaved.

Objective: To examine if food insecurity moderates the relationship between rurality and mental health outcomes (suicide mortality, poor mental health days, frequent mental distress) and to assess if these effects vary across U.S. Census divisions. Methods: This county-level (n=2,397) cross-sectional study used OLS and spatial error regression to analyze public data from sources including the County Health Rankings and USDA. We modeled suicide mortality, poor mental health days, and frequent mental distress as functions of the Index of Relative Rurality (IRR) and food insecurity, controlling for median income and provider rates. The suicide model was also tested across nine U.S. Census divisions. Results: Baseline models revealed a paradox: rurality was a direct risk factor for suicide (B=0.400) but protective for poor mental health days (B=-0.224). The national multivariable model revealed a significant, positive rurality-food insecurity interaction for suicide mortality (B=0.861), indicating a synergistic risk. This interaction was not significant for general mental distress, which was more strongly predicted by income and food insecurity. Regional analysis confirmed the suicide interaction was potent in five divisions, including the Pacific (B=3.048) and Mountain (B=1.712) , but absent in others (e.g., South Atlantic). Conclusions: The drivers of suicide are distinct from those of general mental distress and are geographically heterogeneous. The interaction of rurality and food insecurity creates a compounded risk for suicide. Suicide prevention must be regionally-tailored and address structural inequalities, such as food insecurity, alongside clinical care.

The basic reproduction number R0 confounds pathogen biology with adaptive human contact behavior. Earlier epidemiological--economic theory predicted a forward-looking behavioral contact response but could not test it in the absence of appropriate behavioral data. Using directly measured mobility as an observable proxy for contact, we (i) estimate the behavioral response function directly from data; (ii) show that the biology/behavior decomposition and hence the behavioral correction to R0 is not identified from an epidemic trajectory, the apparent constant-contact R0 being one endpoint of an observational-equivalence class that fits the factual curve identically yet diverges under counterfactual; and (iii) characterize that divergence ("what R0 deletes") as state-dependent, unimodal in counterfactual severity and vanishing when behavior saturates. We then show that, across US jurisdictions, the correction is empirically bounded because risk-responsiveness and behavioral non-saturation are confounded (r=-0.57, n=51): where behavior could compensate, it was already maximal, and where it was not maximal it did not respond. What R0 deletes is thus real and structurally characterizable yet empirically modest here, for reasons the framework itself supplies.

Indiana still faces significant health challenges, ranking among the least healthy U.S. states due to high obesity rates, mental health issues, and other chronic conditions. These disparities are closely linked to inequities in healthcare access, which are largely shaped by social determinants of health. Using data from the Social Vulnerability Index and County Health Rankings and Roadmaps, this study analyzes trends in obesity, mental health, and premature death across Indiana counties before, during, and after the COVID-19 pandemic. Descriptive statistics, correlation analyses, and Negative Binomial regression models were used to evaluate county-level disparities. In 2018, higher rates of uninsured, obese, and physically inactive populations were associated with increased premature death. In 2020, diabetes, smoking, and alcohol consumption were significant factors. By 2022, unemployment, education, obesity, insurance, exercise access, and mental health provider availability were associated with premature death. Findings indicate that socially vulnerable counties experienced amplified health impacts, with obesity rising most sharply where exercise infrastructure was limited and poor mental health days increasing across all counties. These results highlight persistent service gaps and the critical need for targeted investments in recreational infrastructure and mental healthcare. Future research should examine policy influences and causal relationships to inform equity-focused interventions.

Modeling the circadian impact of seasonal clock changing requires precise synchronization between solar and social time. This report critiques a recent study that associated disease prevalence in the United States with seasonal clock exposure. We identify a fundamental computational error in which a sign reversal of the longitudinal offset effectively inverted the US East-West axis, cross-correlating local health data with the circadian burden of hypothetical locations on the opposite side of a time zone. We outline the methodology for a correct modelization of the circadian process in the context of US geography.

Urban nature is increasingly recognized as a determinant of healthy aging. However, research has largely focused on the quantity of greenness rather than biodiversity. Evidence supports an association between biodiversity and mental health, but physical aging evidence is very limited. We examined the longitudinal association between residential bird biodiversity and frailty severity using electronic health records. We conducted a retrospective cohort study of 20,388 adults aged 65 years and older receiving primary care in the Mount Sinai Health System in New York City, contributing 123,103 patient-years of follow-up (2011-2023). Residential bird biodiversity was derived from eBird citizen-science data as a modeled, bias-corrected latent Shannon diversity surface at the census-tract level yearly. Frailty severity was measured annually as the deficit count on the 31-item Veterans Affairs Frailty Index (VA-FI). We estimated associations using a negative binomial generalized additive model adjusted for age, sex, race and ethnicity, insurance, tract-level poverty, and non-Hispanic Black proportion, reporting results as the percent change in expected deficit count. We tested effect modification by age group (65-74, 75-84, over 85 years). Each interquartile range increase in residential bird Shannon diversity was associated with a 1.4% lower expected VA-FI deficit count (95% CI -2.1% to -0.8%). The association was strongest among adults aged 65-74 years (-3.0%, 95% CI -3.9% to -2.1%), attenuated among those aged 75-84 years (-0.8%, 95% CI -1.9% to 0.3%), and no longer evident among those aged 85 and older (+1.6%, 95% CI -0.0% to 3.3%). Greater residential bird biodiversity (reflecting both species richness and evenness) was associated with lower frailty severity, with the largest association in early old age. As a bioindicator of underlying environmental quality shaped by modifiable urban design, bird diversity may point to a avenue for supporting healthy aging in dense cities.

Abstract: Compartmental epidemic models conventionally treat the probability of moving between dis ease states as fixed over time, an assumption that sits uneasily with the reality of a pandemic in which lockdowns, mask mandates, vaccination roll-out, and the arrival of new variants continually reshape transmission. This paper develops a time-inhomogeneous Markov chain framework for the Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Removed (SEIR) process, in which each transition probability pab(t) is allowed to vary with calendar time while respecting the struc tural zeros implied by the SEIR compartmental flow. We derive the constrained maximum likelihood estimator of pab(t) under these structural constraints, establish its finite sample efficiency, asymptotic normality, and Wilson score confidence intervals, and construct a like lihood ratio test of the null hypothesis that a compartments exit probability is constant over time. We further propose a stochastic machine learning hybrid extension in which the raw, kernel smoothed transition probabilities are regressed on policy and mobility covariates using both a logistic generalized linear model and a random forest, allowing the framework to attribute time-inhomogeneity to observable interventions. The methodology is applied to a compiled daily, district level COVID-19 surveillance panel for Sierra Leone spanning March 2020 to December 2023 (16 districts, 1,401 days). The likelihood ratio test rejects time-homogeneity of the exposed to infectious transition in 15 of 16 districts and of the infectious-to-removed transition in 8 of 16 districts ( = 0.05), and the covariate augmented logistic model achieves an out of sample Brier score roughly 76 times smaller than a time homogeneous pooled baseline, with healthcare capacity and the time trend emerging as the most influential predictors in the random-forest component. These results provide statisti cal evidence that time-inhomogeneous, covariate informed Markov models offer a materially better description of district-level COVID-19 transmission in Sierra Leone than classical time homogeneous compartmental models, with implications for sub-national outbreak monitoring in resource constrained settings

Background. Given uncertainty about whether later-life health at similar ages is improving over time, we examined trends across multiple health domains. Methods. We analysed data from community-dwelling adults aged 50 and older in the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing in 2004/05, 2012/13, and 2023/24 (main survey: N=8389, 8549, and 6090, respectively). Outcomes included self-rated health, limiting long-standing illness, pain, mobility limitations, cardiometabolic and chronic conditions, obesity, inflammation, mental health, quality of life and memory. Weighted pooled modified Poisson and linear regressions compared outcomes over time, overall, and by age group and education, with additional adjustment for sex and wealth. Results. Adjusted estimates showed divergent trends. Fair/poor self-rated health increased from 27% to 34%, and any pain from 37% to 47%, whereas mobility impairments declined from 58% to 52%. Self-reported high cholesterol increased from 19% to 39%, while biomarker-defined high cholesterol declined from 78% to 54%; diabetes increased on both measures. Psychiatric problems increased from 6% to 10%, quality of life declined, and memory improved. However, trends differed by age and education, particularly for limiting long-standing illness, mobility limitations, cholesterol biomarkers, and mental health, indicating that aggregate trends masked unevenly distributed changes. Conclusion. Later-life health in England has not improved uniformly. Gains in functioning, biomarkers, and cognition coexist with rising pain and poorer mental health. Trends were also socially and age patterned, producing increasingly multidimensional and socially patterned health outcomes. Multidomain health monitoring is essential for interpreting population health trends and planning healthy ageing, prevention, long-term care, and work policies.